Spain will finish Matchday 4 top of Group A3 if they beat or draw with Croatia. If Spain lose, they will remain first provided England do not beat Czechia. An England victory, however, would put Spain and England level on nine points and send the decision to the competition’s tiebreakers — rules that are not included in the sources available for this article.

Spain’s straightforward route
Spain enter the October 6 fixture with nine points, three more than England. That advantage comes from three wins in three matches. In the latest round, Spain defeated Czechia 3-1 while England beat Croatia 7-0, according to UEFA’s Matchday 3 round-up.
Because a win is worth three points, victory in Split would take Spain to 12. England can reach no more than nine in this round. A Spanish win therefore secures first place regardless of the other result.
A draw is also sufficient. It would move Spain to ten points, a total England cannot match on Matchday 4. One point against Croatia would consequently keep Spain alone at the top.

What happens if Spain lose
A defeat would leave Spain on nine points. The result of England against Czechia would then determine whether the teams finish level on points.
An England draw would take them to seven points, while defeat would leave them on six. Spain would remain first in either case, even after losing to Croatia.
If England win, they will join Spain on nine points. The order of the two teams would then depend on the official tiebreaking criteria. The supplied sources record the points and fixtures but do not reproduce the applicable regulations. On that evidence alone, it is therefore not possible to state responsibly which team would lead under this combination. UEFA’s official standings should be checked after the matches.

Why goal difference alone does not settle the question
Spain have scored ten goals and conceded four after three games, according to the RFEF. The same source identifies England as their closest challenger, three points behind, and records England’s 7-0 victory over Croatia.
Those figures show how the previous round changed the picture, but they are not enough to declare in advance who would win a tie on points. Without the regulations among the sources reviewed, giving priority to overall goal difference, head-to-head results or another criterion would be an unsupported assumption. The firm conclusion is narrower: a Spain defeat combined with an England win creates a tie on nine points and requires the official tiebreakers.

The teams’ campaigns so far
Spain began by beating England 3-2, then defeated Croatia 4-1 and Czechia 3-1. UEFA’s fixture and results list confirms that sequence and states that the league phase began on September 24 and ends on November 17.
Lamine Yamal, Rodri and Mikel Merino scored against Czechia. UEFA’s round-up also says Spain opened a Nations League campaign with three consecutive victories for the first time.
Croatia, meanwhile, have a 2-1 win over Czechia and defeats against Spain and England. UEFA described the 7-0 loss to England as a record defeat for Croatia. That result provides context but does not make the next outcome predictable: the leadership equation depends on what actually happens in both Group A3 matches.
Confirmed date, time and venue
Croatia versus Spain is scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026, at 20:45 Spanish peninsular time at Poljud Stadium in Split. The date, time and stadium are listed in the RFEF national-team calendar.
The RFEF also names Belgium’s Erik Lambrechts as referee and Bram Van Driessche as VAR in the official match appointment. Because schedules and operational details can change, readers should check the official fixture page before kickoff.
England against Czechia takes place on the same day. The supplied sources conflict over its venue: UEFA’s fixture list presents England as the home team, while the RFEF article mentions Prague. The location should therefore not be considered confirmed here. That discrepancy does not affect the points calculation.
What to watch in Matchday 4
The practical reading is clear: a win or draw in Split guarantees Spain first place at the end of the round. If Spain lose, an England draw or defeat also preserves their lead. Only the combination of a Spanish defeat and an English victory produces a points tie and hands the answer to the official tiebreaking rules.
This conclusion concerns the standings after Matchday 4, not the group’s final outcome. Matches will continue in November, including Spain against England on Matchday 6. After Tuesday’s games, the competition’s official table will be the proper source for the updated order.
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Sources and credits
- Bryan Berlin — CC BY-SA 4.0
- Bryan Berlin — CC BY-SA 4.0
- Bryan Berlin — CC BY-SA 4.0
- Bryan Berlin — CC BY-SA 4.0
- RFEF — calendário da seleção espanhola e ficha de Croácia x Espanha
- RFEF — Espanha chega à quarta rodada com nove pontos e liderança do Grupo A3
- UEFA — resumo da terceira rodada e classificação atualizada do Grupo A3
- UEFA — jogos e resultados da fase de grupos 2026/27
- RFEF — árbitro, data, horário e local de Croácia x Espanha